Question Video: Using Experimental Probability to Determine the Expected Number of Outcomes of an Event | Nagwa Question Video: Using Experimental Probability to Determine the Expected Number of Outcomes of an Event | Nagwa

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Question Video: Using Experimental Probability to Determine the Expected Number of Outcomes of an Event Mathematics • Second Year of Preparatory School

A factory produces two types of shirts: A and B. The table shows how many shirts of each type were sold in 5 samples of 100 shirts from 5 different shopping malls. If the factory sells 3,000 shirts, how many of them do you expect to be of type A?

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Video Transcript

A factory produces two types of shirts: A and B. The table shows how many shirts of each type were sold in five samples of 100 shirts from five different shopping malls. If the factory sells 3,000 shirts, how many of them do you expect to be of type A?

In order to answer this question, we need to recall the formula for expected value. This is equal to the probability of an event occurring multiplied by the number of trials or experiments. We will begin by calculating the experimental probability of selecting a shirt of type A from the table. As there were five samples, one in each shopping mall, of 100 shirts, we know that there were 500 shirts in total. Adding the values in the second row of our table, we see that 227 of these shirts were of type A.

Whilst it is not required in this question, it is worth noting that 273 of the shirts sold were of type B and that 227 plus 273 equals 500. Since probability is equal to the number of successful outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes, where each outcome is equally likely to be selected, we know that the probability that a shirt from this sample was of type A is equal to 227 over 500. Since the factory sells 3,000 shirts, the expected value is equal to 227 over 500 multiplied by 3,000. Both 500 and 3,000 are divisible by 500. So our calculation simplifies to 227 multiplied by six, which is equal to 1,362.

We can conclude that from the information in the sample that if the factory sold 3,000 shirts, we would expect 1,362 of them to be of type A.

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